With
roughly a third of the year already gone (scary isn’t it?!) I was talking to
landlord from Burton Joyce the other day about what is happening to the level
of rents that are being achieved in the Nottingham property market.
It appears that rents being achieved for ‘new’ rentals (ie when the tenant moves out
and new tenant moves in) have risen in the order of 3% in the last 12 months on
top of the range modern properties, yet remained static for older Victorian
terraced houses and converted apartments. However, landlords with existing sitting
tenants, irrespective of age are not increasing their rents, as most landlords
prefer to keep their existing tenant paying the same rent and have the peace of
mind that their tenant remains, paying the rent (thus reducing the risk of a
void period).
It must
be remembered rents dropped by 7.7% over 2008/9, due to oversupply in the rental
market in 2009.) A lot of the people who couldn’t sell their property in Nottingham
in 2008/9 when the Credit Crunch hit in 2008, decided to let their house out
instead of selling at a loss. In fact, the number of houses on the market in Nottingham
dropped by 56.7% between April 2008 and March 2010, a lot of which came on to
the rental market in Nottingham. However, looking at the longer term, tenants haven’t
had it too bad as, since the turn of the Millennium, average wages have grown
by 46%, but rents outside London have only grown by 36% rental growth over this
period.
I indicated
to the landlord that there is a lack of new rental properties coming on the
market, in fact according to the Office of National Statistics, there are only 83
new rental properties in Nottingham each month, but the population of Nottingham
is rising by 322 people a month – so something will have to give soon! This is
compounded by the fact a number of landlords are looking to sell their rental
properties in the coming months, as the property market in Nottingham has
improved. This is further compounded as tenants in existing rental properties
appear to be staying in properties for longer periods of time.
Looking at the rents charged in Nottingham,
historic evidence in the UK suggests private market rents have moved in line
with general inflation. Government figures only go back as far as the year
2000, but looking at other countries with similar housing markets (America,
Australia, Ireland and Holland) the fact is rents paid by tenants tend to rise
in line or just ahead of inflation.
As short term wage growth in Nottingham has
eased off recently (rising by only 1.3%
in the last 12 months - taking average salaries in Nottingham to £22,639pa) and
with the tax breaks announced by the Chancellor; I believe, even though rents
have kept pace with inflation in the past, renting as an option has become more
affordable - and is increasingly seen as a lifestyle choice. With returning
economic growth and expected increases in the rate of growth of wages, above
inflation rental growth could rise.
If you want a chat about the local Nottingham
property market, pop in the for a coffee or email me on jaclyn.bartlett@centrickproperty.co.uk

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